Geometric Mean Forecast

Forecast Details

Dossier Want To Retire (307)
Duration: 4 ms
Configured Range Unspecified
Evaluated Range (2019 -> 2051] (32 Years)
Forecast Tax Override AsModeled
Primary User plusauri
Growth Outlook standard
Inflation [ (1900, 3.00%) ]
Cost of Capital [ (1900, 7.50%) ]

Person Events

Person Event Age/Year
Male Retirement 65/2024
Male Death 92/2051

Balances Sheet Items

Item Growth Item Assumption Source Growth Assumption Realized Log-Ret PV Final Year @ 3% Initial 2019
(Age:60)
2020
(Age:61)
2021
(Age:62)
2022
(Age:63)
2023
(Age:64)
2024
(Age:65)
2025
(Age:66)
2026
(Age:67)
2027
(Age:68)
2028
(Age:69)
2029
(Age:70)
2030
(Age:71)
2031
(Age:72)
2032
(Age:73)
2033
(Age:74)
2034
(Age:75)
2035
(Age:76)
2036
(Age:77)
2037
(Age:78)
2038
(Age:79)
2039
(Age:80)
2040
(Age:81)
2041
(Age:82)
2042
(Age:83)
2043
(Age:84)
2044
(Age:85)
2045
(Age:86)
2046
(Age:87)
2047
(Age:88)
2048
(Age:89)
2049
(Age:90)
2050
(Age:91)
Non Financial Assets
Home Equity 📁 (μ=2.5%, σ=6%, π=2.32%) 2.32 % $884,892 $1,100,000 $1,125,818 $1,152,243 $1,179,287 $1,206,966 $1,235,295 $1,264,289 $1,293,964 $1,324,335 $1,355,418 $1,387,232 $1,419,792 $1,453,116 $1,487,222 $1,522,129 $1,557,855 $1,594,420 $1,631,843 $1,670,145 $1,709,345 $1,749,465 $1,790,527 $1,832,553 $1,875,565 $1,919,587 $1,964,642 $2,010,755 $2,057,950 $2,106,252 $2,155,689 $2,206,285 $2,258,069 $2,311,069
Foreign Realestate 📁 (μ=2.5%, σ=6%, π=2.32%) 2.32 % $482,668 $600,000 $614,083 $628,496 $643,248 $658,345 $673,798 $689,612 $705,798 $722,364 $739,319 $756,672 $774,432 $792,609 $811,212 $830,252 $849,739 $869,684 $890,096 $910,988 $932,370 $954,254 $976,651 $999,574 $1,023,036 $1,047,048 $1,071,623 $1,096,775 $1,122,518 $1,148,865 $1,175,830 $1,203,428 $1,231,674 $1,260,583
Financial Assets
Primary 401K(☂️) : VG Target 2025 🇺🇸 📈 plusauri (μ=9.215%, σ=16.381%, π=7.874%) 7.874 % $442,908 $350,000 $378,672 $409,693 $443,255 $479,567 $518,853 $561,358 $607,345 $657,099 $710,929 $769,168 $801,807 $834,756 $867,861 $900,942 $933,792 $966,171 $997,806 $1,028,625 $1,058,068 $1,086,040 $1,112,174 $1,136,062 $1,157,250 $1,175,239 $1,189,482 $1,199,970 $1,206,196 $1,207,620 $1,203,671 $1,193,753 $1,178,252 $1,156,741
Primary 401K(☂️) : VG Target 2030 🇺🇸 📈 plusauri (μ=9.215%, σ=16.381%, π=7.874%) 7.874 % $442,908 $350,000 $378,672 $409,693 $443,255 $479,567 $518,853 $561,358 $607,345 $657,099 $710,929 $769,168 $801,807 $834,756 $867,861 $900,942 $933,792 $966,171 $997,806 $1,028,625 $1,058,068 $1,086,040 $1,112,174 $1,136,062 $1,157,250 $1,175,239 $1,189,482 $1,199,970 $1,206,196 $1,207,620 $1,203,671 $1,193,753 $1,178,252 $1,156,741
Taxable : Stocks (Berkshire, Visa,...) 🇺🇸 📈 plusauri (μ=9.215%, σ=16.381%, π=7.874%) 7.874 % $2,160,339 $1,000,000 $1,081,920 $1,170,552 $1,266,444 $1,370,192 $1,482,438 $1,603,880 $1,735,271 $1,877,425 $2,031,225 $2,197,073 $2,295,212 $2,383,816 $2,476,396 $2,574,473 $2,678,553 $2,789,055 $2,906,618 $3,031,482 $3,164,915 $3,307,143 $3,459,036 $3,621,492 $3,795,479 $3,982,045 $4,182,320 $4,396,339 $4,567,414 $4,758,556 $4,962,172 $5,177,977 $5,404,504 $5,642,149
Taxable : I-Bonds 📌 (μ=3.5%, σ=1%, π=3.495%) 3.5 % _ $240,000 $240,000 $240,000 $240,000 $240,000 $240,000 $240,000 $240,000 $240,000 $132,322 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Taxable : Cash plusauri (μ=0.35%, σ=0.025%, π=0.35%) 0.35 % _ $800,000 $694,523 $584,128 $492,584 $393,942 $290,661 $182,556 $69,433 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
Taxable : Emergency plusauri (μ=0.35%, σ=0.025%, π=0.35%) 0.35 % _ $65,000 $65,000 $65,000 $65,000 $65,000 $65,000 $65,000 $65,000 $16,092 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
_ _ _ _
Net Worth
$4,413,714 $4,505,000 $4,578,689 $4,659,804 $4,773,074 $4,893,579 $5,024,899 $5,168,054 $5,324,156 $5,494,413 $5,680,142 $5,879,313 $6,093,050 $6,299,053 $6,510,552 $6,728,739 $6,953,732 $7,185,501 $7,424,169 $7,669,864 $7,922,766 $8,182,942 $8,450,563 $8,725,743 $9,008,579 $9,299,158 $9,597,549 $9,903,809 $10,160,274 $10,428,912 $10,701,032 $10,975,197 $11,250,752 $11,527,282

Annual Details

_ _ _ _
Sheltered Distributions
_ _ _ _ Sheltered Qualified Divs $8,015 $8,672 $9,382 $10,151 $10,983 $11,882 $12,856 $13,909 $15,048 $16,281 $17,615 $18,362 $19,117 $19,875 $20,633 $21,385 $22,126 $22,851 $23,557 $24,231 $24,872 $25,470 $26,017 $26,502 $26,914 $27,240 $27,481 $27,623 $27,656 $27,565 $27,338 $26,983
_ _ _ _ Sheltered Unqualified Divs _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
_ _ _ _ Sheltered Cap Gain Dist _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
_ _ _ _ Sheltered Interest _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
_ _ _ _
Non-Sheltered Distributions
_ _ _ _ Qualified Divs $11,451 $12,389 $13,403 $14,501 $15,689 $16,975 $18,365 $19,870 $21,498 $23,259 $25,158 $26,281 $27,296 $28,356 $29,479 $30,671 $31,936 $33,282 $34,712 $36,240 $37,869 $39,608 $41,468 $43,460 $45,597 $47,890 $50,341 $52,299 $54,488 $56,820 $59,291 $61,885
_ _ _ _ Unqualified Divs _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
_ _ _ _ Cap Gain Dist _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
_ _ _ _ Interest $11,582 $11,212 $10,825 $10,504 $10,158 $9,796 $9,417 $9,020 $8,605 $4,713 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
_ _ _ _
Taxable Distributions By Treatment
_ _ _ _ Reinvested $11,451 $12,389 $13,403 $14,501 $15,689 $16,975 $18,365 $19,870 $21,498 $23,259 $25,158 $26,281 $27,296 $28,356 $29,479 $30,671 $31,936 $33,282 $34,712 $36,240 $37,869 $39,608 $41,468 $43,460 $45,597 $47,890 $50,341 $52,299 $54,488 $56,820 $59,291 $61,885
_ _ _ _ Disbursed $11,582 $11,212 $10,825 $10,504 $10,158 $9,796 $9,417 $9,020 $8,605 $4,713 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
_ _ _ _
Capital Gains/Losses
_ _ _ _ Long Term Cap Gains/(Loss) _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ $258 $40,794 $52,278 $56,605 $60,207 $63,685 $67,117 $70,394 $73,807 $76,703 $79,836 $82,796 $85,611 $88,283 $90,812 $93,201 $96,343 $143,239 $140,076 $143,851 $148,587 $155,221 $162,227
_ _ _ _
Total Income
$38,125 $38,562 $63,006 $64,459 $65,949 $67,485 $69,069 $70,704 $72,390 $70,673 $128,951 $136,006 $143,500 $151,461 $159,921 $168,909 $178,462 $188,130 $198,883 $209,703 $221,123 $233,169 $245,865 $259,234 $273,298 $286,888 $243,183 $256,064 $269,384 $283,105 $295,171 $307,274
_ _ _ _ Earned Income $26,543 $27,350 $28,182 $29,039 $29,921 $30,831 $31,769 $32,734 $33,730 $34,755 $35,812 $36,901 $38,022 $39,178 $40,370 $41,597 $42,862 $44,165 $45,507 $46,891 $48,317 $49,786 $51,299 $52,859 $54,466 $56,122 _ _ _ _ _ _
_ _ _ _ Passive Income _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
_ _ _ _ Portfolio Income $11,582 $11,212 $10,825 $10,504 $10,158 $9,796 $9,417 $9,020 $8,605 $4,713 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
_ _ _ _ Ordinary Income _ _ $24,000 $24,917 $25,869 $26,858 $27,884 $28,950 $30,056 $31,204 $93,140 $99,106 $105,478 $112,283 $119,551 $127,313 $135,600 $143,965 $153,375 $162,812 $172,806 $183,383 $194,566 $206,375 $218,832 $230,767 $243,183 $256,064 $269,384 $283,105 $295,171 $307,274
_ _ _ _ Required Min Dist _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ $60,743 $65,471 $70,558 $76,029 $81,912 $88,235 $95,029 $101,844 $109,644 $117,410 $125,669 $134,445 $143,758 $153,626 $164,066 $173,909 $184,152 $194,777 $205,756 $217,046 $226,587 $236,069
_ _ _ _
Adjusted Gross Income
$38,125 $38,562 $63,006 $64,459 $65,949 $67,485 $69,069 $70,704 $72,390 $70,673 $128,951 $136,006 $143,500 $151,461 $159,921 $168,909 $178,462 $188,130 $198,883 $209,703 $221,123 $233,169 $245,865 $259,234 $273,298 $286,888 $243,183 $256,064 $269,384 $283,105 $295,171 $307,274
_ _ _ _ Tax Basis $14,125 $13,831 $37,522 $38,199 $38,889 $39,601 $40,336 $41,096 $41,881 $39,233 $96,555 $102,623 $109,100 $116,014 $123,394 $131,270 $139,676 $148,163 $157,698 $167,264 $177,392 $188,106 $199,430 $211,385 $223,991 $236,080 $190,827 $202,114 $213,791 $225,820 $236,140 $246,446
_ _ _ _ Standard Deduction $(24,000) $(24,731) $(25,484) $(26,260) $(27,060) $(27,884) $(28,733) $(29,608) $(30,510) $(31,439) $(32,397) $(33,383) $(34,400) $(35,448) $(36,527) $(37,639) $(38,786) $(39,967) $(41,184) $(42,438) $(43,731) $(45,063) $(46,435) $(47,849) $(49,306) $(50,808) $(52,355) $(53,950) $(55,593) $(57,286) $(59,030) $(60,828)
_ _ _ _ Marginal Rate 10.00% 10.00% 12.00% 12.00% 12.00% 12.00% 12.00% 12.00% 12.00% 12.00% 12.00% 12.00% 12.00% 22.00% 22.00% 22.00% 22.00% 22.00% 22.00% 22.00% 22.00% 22.00% 22.00% 22.00% 22.00% 22.00% 22.00% 22.00% 22.00% 22.00% 22.00% 22.00%
_ _ _ _ Effective Rate 6.95% 6.82% 8.18% 8.09% 7.99% 7.89% 7.79% 7.69% 7.59% 7.29% 12.16% 12.30% 12.33% 12.42% 12.58% 12.75% 12.90% 13.05% 13.20% 13.33% 13.47% 13.60% 13.72% 13.85% 13.97% 14.07% 12.20% 12.28% 12.39% 12.51% 12.59% 12.66%
_ _ _ _ Total Tax Bill $(3,443) $(3,475) $(6,254) $(6,388) $(6,526) $(6,668) $(6,814) $(6,966) $(7,122) $(6,868) $(23,705) $(26,392) $(28,040) $(29,810) $(31,850) $(33,993) $(36,233) $(38,514) $(40,951) $(43,437) $(46,025) $(48,727) $(51,549) $(54,498) $(57,580) $(60,674) $(53,303) $(55,066) $(57,974) $(61,107) $(64,153) $(67,252)
_ _ _ _ Ordinary Tax Bill $(1,412) $(1,383) $(4,098) $(4,167) $(4,237) $(4,309) $(4,384) $(4,461) $(4,541) $(4,209) $(11,072) $(11,785) $(12,546) $(13,528) $(14,787) $(16,143) $(17,605) $(19,072) $(20,758) $(22,438) $(24,229) $(26,135) $(28,162) $(30,314) $(32,594) $(34,746) $(24,266) $(26,210) $(28,223) $(30,296) $(31,976) $(33,635)
_ _ _ _ Soc. Sec. Tax $(1,646) $(1,696) $(1,747) $(1,800) $(1,855) $(1,912) $(1,970) $(2,030) $(2,091) $(2,155) $(2,220) $(2,288) $(2,357) $(2,429) $(2,503) $(2,579) $(2,657) $(2,738) $(2,821) $(2,907) $(2,996) $(3,087) $(3,181) $(3,277) $(3,377) $(3,480) _ _ _ _ _ _
_ _ _ _ Medicare Tax $(385) $(397) $(409) $(421) $(434) $(447) $(461) $(475) $(489) $(504) $(519) $(535) $(551) $(568) $(585) $(603) $(621) $(640) $(660) $(680) $(701) $(722) $(744) $(766) $(790) $(814) _ _ _ _ _ _
_ _ _ _ Long Term Cap Gain Tax _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ $(6,119) $(7,842) $(8,491) $(9,031) $(9,553) $(10,068) $(10,559) $(11,071) $(11,505) $(11,975) $(12,419) $(12,842) $(13,242) $(13,622) $(13,980) $(14,451) $(21,486) $(21,011) $(21,578) $(22,288) $(23,283) $(24,334)
_ _ _ _ On LTCG _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ $258 $40,794 $52,278 $56,605 $60,207 $63,685 $67,117 $70,394 $73,807 $76,703 $79,836 $82,796 $85,611 $88,283 $90,812 $93,201 $96,343 $143,239 $140,076 $143,851 $148,587 $155,221 $162,227
_ _ _ _ With LTCG Hurdle $77,200 $79,551 $81,974 $84,470 $87,043 $89,694 $92,425 $95,240 $98,140 $101,129 $104,209 $107,383 $110,653 $114,023 $117,495 $121,074 $124,761 $128,560 $132,476 $136,510 $140,668 $144,952 $149,366 $153,915 $158,602 $163,432 $168,410 $173,538 $178,824 $184,270 $189,881 $195,664
_ _ _ _
Remaining Shortfall
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
_ _ _ _
Balance Breakdown
_ _ _ _ Start Balance $4,505,000 $4,578,689 $4,659,804 $4,773,074 $4,893,579 $5,024,899 $5,168,054 $5,324,156 $5,494,413 $5,680,142 $5,879,313 $6,093,050 $6,299,053 $6,510,552 $6,728,739 $6,953,732 $7,185,501 $7,424,169 $7,669,864 $7,922,766 $8,182,942 $8,450,563 $8,725,743 $9,008,579 $9,299,158 $9,597,549 $9,903,809 $10,160,274 $10,428,912 $10,701,032 $10,975,197 $11,250,752
_ _ _ _ Total Increases $217,291 $230,073 $267,819 $283,607 $300,549 $318,745 $338,294 $359,303 $381,888 $402,717 $424,535 $441,430 $457,703 $474,438 $491,735 $509,605 $528,047 $547,072 $566,692 $586,923 $607,773 $629,258 $651,388 $674,174 $697,625 $721,748 $688,722 $707,724 $727,710 $747,968 $768,382 $788,898
_ _ _ _ Worth Growth $39,901 $40,838 $41,796 $42,777 $43,781 $44,809 $45,860 $46,937 $48,039 $49,166 $50,320 $51,501 $52,710 $53,947 $55,213 $56,509 $57,836 $59,193 $60,582 $62,004 $63,460 $64,949 $66,473 $68,034 $69,631 $71,265 $72,938 $74,649 $76,402 $78,195 $80,030 $81,909
_ _ _ _ Holding Growth $150,846 $161,885 $173,841 $186,875 $200,977 $216,247 $232,781 $250,682 $270,064 $287,591 $306,006 $319,394 $332,051 $345,059 $358,513 $372,422 $386,779 $401,593 $416,871 $432,626 $448,860 $465,585 $482,808 $500,532 $518,763 $537,503 $556,754 $571,789 $587,681 $603,714 $619,768 $635,785
_ _ _ _ Modeled Inflows $26,543 $27,350 $52,182 $53,956 $55,791 $57,689 $59,653 $61,684 $63,785 $65,959 $68,208 $70,535 $72,942 $75,433 $78,009 $80,675 $83,433 $86,286 $89,238 $92,293 $95,453 $98,724 $102,107 $105,608 $109,231 $112,980 $59,030 $61,286 $63,628 $66,059 $68,584 $71,204
_ _ _ _ Employer Match _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
_ _ _ _ Total Decreases $(143,602) $(148,957) $(154,550) $(163,102) $(169,230) $(175,590) $(182,192) $(189,045) $(196,160) $(203,545) $(210,797) $(235,427) $(246,204) $(256,252) $(266,742) $(277,836) $(289,379) $(301,377) $(313,790) $(326,746) $(340,152) $(354,079) $(368,552) $(383,596) $(399,233) $(415,488) $(432,258) $(439,086) $(455,591) $(473,803) $(492,826) $(512,369)
_ _ _ _ Modeled Outflows $(140,159) $(145,514) $(151,075) $(156,848) $(162,841) $(169,064) $(175,524) $(182,231) $(189,194) $(196,424) $(203,930) $(211,722) $(219,812) $(228,212) $(236,932) $(245,986) $(255,386) $(265,144) $(275,276) $(285,795) $(296,716) $(308,054) $(319,825) $(332,046) $(344,735) $(357,908) $(371,584) $(385,783) $(400,524) $(415,829) $(431,719) $(448,216)
_ _ _ _ Tax Bill $(3,443) $(3,443) $(3,475) $(6,254) $(6,388) $(6,526) $(6,668) $(6,814) $(6,966) $(7,122) $(6,868) $(23,705) $(26,392) $(28,040) $(29,810) $(31,850) $(33,993) $(36,233) $(38,514) $(40,951) $(43,437) $(46,025) $(48,727) $(51,549) $(54,498) $(57,580) $(60,674) $(53,303) $(55,066) $(57,974) $(61,107) $(64,153)
_ _ _ _ Penalties _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
_ _ _ _ Proof End Balance $4,578,689 $4,659,804 $4,773,074 $4,893,579 $5,024,899 $5,168,054 $5,324,156 $5,494,413 $5,680,142 $5,879,313 $6,093,050 $6,299,053 $6,510,552 $6,728,739 $6,953,732 $7,185,501 $7,424,169 $7,669,864 $7,922,766 $8,182,942 $8,450,563 $8,725,743 $9,008,579 $9,299,158 $9,597,549 $9,903,809 $10,160,274 $10,428,912 $10,701,032 $10,975,197 $11,250,752 $11,527,282

Modeled Cash Flows

Flow Growth Item Assumption Source Growth Assumption Realized Log-Ret PV Sum @ 3% Initial 2019
(Age:60)
2020
(Age:61)
2021
(Age:62)
2022
(Age:63)
2023
(Age:64)
2024
(Age:65)
2025
(Age:66)
2026
(Age:67)
2027
(Age:68)
2028
(Age:69)
2029
(Age:70)
2030
(Age:71)
2031
(Age:72)
2032
(Age:73)
2033
(Age:74)
2034
(Age:75)
2035
(Age:76)
2036
(Age:77)
2037
(Age:78)
2038
(Age:79)
2039
(Age:80)
2040
(Age:81)
2041
(Age:82)
2042
(Age:83)
2043
(Age:84)
2044
(Age:85)
2045
(Age:86)
2046
(Age:87)
2047
(Age:88)
2048
(Age:89)
2049
(Age:90)
2050
(Age:91)
Spouse Temp Job 🔨 📁 (μ=3%, σ=1%, π=2.995%) 2.995 % $689,694 $25,000:↑ $26,543 $27,350 $28,182 $29,039 $29,921 $30,831 $31,769 $32,734 $33,730 $34,755 $35,812 $36,901 $38,022 $39,178 $40,370 $41,597 $42,862 $44,165 $45,507 $46,891 $48,317 $49,786 $51,299 $52,859 $54,466 $56,122 _ _ _ _ _ _
Cost of Living 📌 (μ=2.5%, σ=1%, π=2.495%) 3.75 % $(5,050,069) $(135,000):↓ $(140,159) $(145,514) $(151,075) $(156,848) $(162,841) $(169,064) $(175,524) $(182,231) $(189,194) $(196,424) $(203,930) $(211,722) $(219,812) $(228,212) $(236,932) $(245,986) $(255,386) $(265,144) $(275,276) $(285,795) $(296,716) $(308,054) $(319,825) $(332,046) $(344,735) $(357,908) $(371,584) $(385,783) $(400,524) $(415,829) $(431,719) $(448,216)
Soc Sec 📌 (μ=2.5%, σ=1%, π=2.495%) 3.516 % $757,563 $24,000:↑ _ _ $24,000 $24,917 $25,869 $26,858 $27,884 $28,950 $30,056 $31,204 $32,397 $33,635 $34,920 $36,254 $37,639 $39,078 $40,571 $42,121 $43,731 $45,402 $47,137 $48,938 $50,808 $52,749 $54,765 $56,858 $59,030 $61,286 $63,628 $66,059 $68,584 $71,204